Recent Report from Rob Atkinson at the Progressive Policy Institute
On the basis of current trends in computer ownership, 90 percent of households will
have computers in 2005. Trends in Internet access suggest that 90 percent of households will
be connected even sooner -- in 2003, suggesting access through other devices such as TVs in
addition to computers. Even if Internet penetration only grows as fast as television
ownership (and its present exponential rate of growth cannot continue indefinitely, given the
obvious upper limit of 100 percent), 90 percent of households will have Internet access by
2005. More conservatively still, if it grew at the rate of radio ownership, 90 percent would be
by at the same rate as VCR ownership, by 2018.

